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DART Team Confirms Orbit of Target Asteroid

On the night of July 7, 2022, the Lowell Discovery Telescope near Flagstaff, Arizona captured this sequence in which the asteroid Didymos, located near the center of the screen, moves across the night sky. The sequence is sped up by about 900 times. Scientists used this and other observations from the July campaign to confirm Dimorphos’ orbit and anticipated location at the time of DART’s impact.

Credit: Lowell Observatory/N. Moskovitz

Using some of the world's most powerful telescopes, NASA's Double Asteroid Redirection Test (DART) investigation team last month completed a six-night observation campaign to confirm earlier calculations of the orbit of Dimorphos—DART's asteroid target—around its larger parent asteroid, Didymos, confirming where the asteroid is expected to be located at the time of impact. DART, which is the world's first attempt to change the speed and path of an asteroid's motion in space, tests a method of asteroid deflection that could prove useful if such a need arises in the future for planetary defense.

"The measurements the team made in early 2021 were critical for making sure that DART arrived at the right place and the right time for its kinetic impact into Dimorphos," said Andy Rivkin, the DART investigation team co-lead at the Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory (APL) in Laurel, Maryland. "Confirming those measurements with new observations shows us that we don't need any course changes and we're already right on target."

However, understanding the dynamics of Dimorphos' orbit is important for reasons beyond ensuring DART's impact. If DART succeeds in altering Dimorphos' path, the moonlet will move closer toward Didymos, shortening the time it takes to orbit it. Measuring that change is straightforward, but scientists need to confirm that nothing other than the impact is affecting the orbit. This includes subtle forces such as radiation recoil from the asteroid's Sun-warmed surface, which can gently push on the asteroid and cause its orbit to change.

"The before-and-after nature of this experiment requires exquisite knowledge of the asteroid system before we do anything to it," said Nick Moskovitz, an astronomer with Lowell Observatory in Flagstaff, Arizona, and co-lead of the July observation campaign. "We don't want to, at the last minute, say, ‘Oh, here's something we hadn't thought about or phenomena we hadn't considered.' We want to be sure that any change we see is entirely due to what DART did."

In late September to early October, around the time of DART's impact, Didymos and Dimorphos will make their closest approach to Earth in recent years at approximately 6.7 million miles (10.8 million kilometers) away. Since March 2021 the Didymos system had been out of range of most ground-based telescopes because of its distance from Earth, but early this July the DART Investigation Team employed powerful telescopes in Arizona and Chile — the Lowell Discovery Telescope at Lowell Observatory, the Magellan Telescope at Las Campanas Observatory and the Southern Astrophysical Research (SOAR) Telescope — to observe the asteroid system and look for changes in its brightness. These changes, called "mutual events," occur when one of the asteroids passes in front of the other because of Dimorphos' orbit, blocking some of the light they emit.

"It was a tricky time of year to get these observations," said Moskovitz. In the Northern Hemisphere, the nights are short, and it is monsoon season in Arizona. In the Southern Hemisphere, the threat of winter storms loomed. In fact, just after the observation campaign, a snowstorm hit Chile, prompting evacuations from the mountain where SOAR is located. The telescope was then shut down for close to ten days. "We asked for six half-nights of observation with some expectation that about half of those would be lost to weather, but we only lost one night. We got really lucky."

In all, the team was able to extract from the data the timing of 11 new mutual events. Studying those changes in brightness enabled scientists to determine precisely how long it takes Dimorphos to orbit the larger asteroid and thereby predict where Dimorphos will be located at specific moments in time, including when DART makes impact. The results were consistent with previous calculations.

"We really have high confidence now that the asteroid system is well understood and we are set up to understand what happens after impact," Moskovitz said.

Not only did this observation campaign enable the team to confirm Dimorphos' orbital period and expected location at time of impact, but it also allowed team members to refine the process they will use to determine whether DART successfully changed Dimorphos's orbit post-impact, and by how much.

In October, the team will again use ground-based telescopes around the world to look for mutual events and calculate Dimorphos' new orbit, expecting that the time it takes the smaller asteroid to orbit Didymos will have shifted by several minutes. These observations will also help constrain theories that scientists around the world have put forward about Dimorphos' orbit dynamics and the rotation of both asteroids.

Johns Hopkins APL manages the DART mission for NASA's Planetary Defense Coordination Office as a project of the agency's Planetary Missions Program Office. DART is the world's first planetary defense test mission, intentionally executing a kinetic impact into Dimorphos to slightly change its motion in space. While neither asteroid poses a threat to Earth, the DART mission will demonstrate that a spacecraft can autonomously navigate to a kinetic impact on a relatively small target asteroid and that this is a viable technique to deflect an asteroid on a collision course with Earth if one is ever discovered. DART will reach its target on Sept. 26, 2022.